Silver
A case on CSGORUN (vipcases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$181.81
Advertised RTP
90.83%
EV $165.15 from 22 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.78%
134 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 134 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/silver/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.83%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $182 | 90.83% | 22 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $182 | 92.59% | 22 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 1.4%#ffd700 0.1%covert knife 6.1%covert 23.2%gold 1.5%Covert 5.5%sunny 5.6%epic 18.4%Immortal 7.6%classified 7.2%extraordinary 23.1%best hit $2,205 (12.13x)