Tec 9

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price

$0.55

Advertised RTP

93.30%

EV $0.51 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d

97.51%

412 openings, odds method

Variance

1.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

24.4%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

59.6%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

13 openings · below min

7 days

97.51%±11.01412 openings

30 days

97.51%±11.01412 openings

since tracking started

97.51%±11.01412 openings

27.0%89.5%152.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	13	89.37%±61.9	—	odds
7d	412	97.51%±11.0	+0.7σ	odds
30d	412	97.51%±11.0	+0.7σ	odds
All	412	97.51%±11.0	+0.7σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 445 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Tec-9 \| Terrace (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 333,333	$84.07	0.0%	0	0.0	—
Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 166,667	$50.08	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 83,333	$32.35	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Tec-9 \| Hades (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 47,619	$25.83	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 17,241	$16.88	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 8,929	$12.54	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Tec-9 \| Ossified (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 3,774	$8.89	0.5%	0	0.1	—
Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,522	$6.49	0.8%	0	0.3	—
Tec-9 \| Jambiya (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 841	$6.04	1.4%	1	0.5	—
Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 465	$4.03	1.7%	0	1.0	—
Tec-9 \| Sandstorm (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 173	$2.91	3.3%	5	2.6	1.94×
Tec-9 \| Mummy's Rot (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 120	$2.45	4.0%	5	3.7	1.35×
Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 76	$1.79	4.6%	6	5.8	1.03×
Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 53	$1.41	5.2%	9	8.4	1.07×
Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 42	$1.18	5.5%	14	10.7	1.31×
Tec-9 \| Groundwater (Factory New)weapon · consumer	1 in 32	$1.04	6.2%	18	13.7	1.31×
Tec-9 \| Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 30	$0.98	6.5%	19	15.1	1.26×
Tec-9 \| Phoenix Chalk (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer	1 in 22	$0.84	7.3%	12	19.9	0.60×
Tec-9 \| Brother (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 17	$0.67	7.8%	28	26.7	1.05×
Tec-9 \| Snek-9 (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 13	$0.59	9.1%	34	35.0	0.97×
Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 12	$0.58	9.1%	26	36.0	0.72×
Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 25	$0.53	4.1%	22	17.7	1.24×
Tec-9 \| Brother (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 25	$0.44	3.4%	16	17.7	0.90×
Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 25	$0.40	3.1%	13	17.7	0.73×
Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 25	$0.32	2.5%	16	17.7	0.90×
Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 25	$0.26	2.0%	21	17.7	1.19×
Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 25	$0.24	1.9%	25	17.7	1.41×
Tec-9 \| VariCamo (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 25	$0.23	1.8%	20	17.7	1.13×
Tec-9 \| Garter-9 (Factory New)weapon · #5e98d9	1 in 25	$0.16	1.2%	18	17.7	1.02×
Tec-9 \| Rebel (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 25	$0.15	1.2%	23	17.7	1.30×
Tec-9 \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer	1 in 25	$0.13	1.0%	8	17.7	0.45×
Tec-9 \| Citric Acid (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 25	$0.13	1.0%	17	17.7	0.96×
Tec-9 \| Tiger Stencil (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 25	$0.12	0.9%	14	17.7	0.79×
Tec-9 \| Slag (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 25	$0.11	0.9%	17	17.7	0.96×
Tec-9 \| Blue Blast (Factory New)weapon · #b0c3d9	1 in 25	$0.09	0.7%	17	17.7	0.96×
Tec-9 \| Rebel (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 25	$0.08	0.6%	21	17.7	1.19×

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/tec9/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New)weapon · #b0c3d9kosoy$0.55$0.090.16x12h

Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedLuis$0.55$0.260.47x15h

Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested)weapon · violetLuis$0.55$0.440.80x15h

Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueLuis$0.55$0.110.20x16h

Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedLuis$0.55$0.240.44x16h

Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedBE HUMBLE$0.55$1.182.15x17h

Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear)weapon · violetBE HUMBLE$0.55$0.671.22x17h

Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear)weapon · RareBE HUMBLE$0.55$0.150.27x17h

Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear)weapon · violetBE HUMBLE$0.55$0.671.22x17h

Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerBE HUMBLE$0.55$0.130.24x17h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.30%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
6 Nov, 05:23 UTC	$0.55	93.30%	36
5 Nov, 23:09 UTC	$0.55	94.00%	36

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedmil spec 12.5%restricted 21.9%classified 0.0%Industrial Grade 0.0%#4b69ff 4.0%Rare 8.0%Mil Spec Grade 0.1%blue 8.2%consumer 11.5%violet 13.9%industrial 8.0%#5e98d9 4.0%Uncommon 4.0%#b0c3d9 4.0%best hit —