Ump

Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 129 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
UMP-45 | Minotaur's Labyrinth (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 500,000	$101	0.0%	0	0.0	—
UMP-45 | Day Lily (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 250,000	$66.13	0.0%	0	0.0	—
UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 111,111	$45.44	0.1%	0	0.0	—
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 55,556	$26.88	0.1%	0	0.0	—
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · uncommon	1 in 32,258	$21.26	0.1%	0	0.0	—
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 12,195	$16.23	0.2%	1	0.0	—
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)weapon · pink	1 in 5,405	$11.39	0.3%	0	0.0	—
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon	1 in 2,463	$9.46	0.6%	0	0.1	—
UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,011	$6.54	1.1%	0	0.1	—
UMP-45 | Houndstooth (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 410	$4.31	1.7%	2	0.3	—
UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 231	$4.12	2.9%	0	0.6	—
UMP-45 | Indigo (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer	1 in 119	$2.70	3.7%	1	1.1	0.92×
UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon	1 in 87	$2.25	4.2%	3	1.5	2.02×
UMP-45 | Briefing (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 58	$1.70	4.8%	2	2.2	0.90×
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 39	$1.44	6.0%	1	3.3	0.31×
UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 29	$1.18	6.6%	3	4.4	0.68×
UMP-45 | Exposure (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 25	$1.08	7.1%	4	5.2	0.77×
UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 23	$1.02	7.1%	4	5.5	0.73×
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 13	$0.77	9.4%	7	9.7	0.72×
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 12	$0.70	9.6%	14	10.9	1.29×
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 12	$0.70	9.4%	12	10.6	1.13×
UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 26	$0.61	3.8%	5	4.9	1.02×
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 26	$0.49	3.0%	6	4.9	1.22×
UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 26	$0.48	3.0%	2	4.9	0.41×
UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 26	$0.41	2.5%	6	4.9	1.22×
UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Minimal Wear)weapon · 1	1 in 26	$0.33	2.0%	8	4.9	1.63×
UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 26	$0.30	1.9%	11	4.9	2.24×
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 26	$0.25	1.5%	5	4.9	1.02×
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 26	$0.21	1.3%	4	4.9	0.82×
UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 26	$0.19	1.2%	5	4.9	1.02×
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 26	$0.17	1.1%	5	4.9	1.02×
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 26	$0.15	0.9%	0	4.9	0.00×
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 26	$0.15	0.9%	0	4.9	0.00×
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 26	$0.11	0.7%	5	4.9	1.02×
UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 26	$0.10	0.6%	6	4.9	1.22×
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 26	$0.09	0.6%	7	4.9	1.43×

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/ump/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →

ItemPlayerPriceValueMultWhen

UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New)weapon · RareSvyatoSlowed$0.66$0.300.45x5h

UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New)weapon · Mil SpecSvyatoSlowed$0.66$0.490.74x5h

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueSvyatoSlowed$0.66$0.701.06x5h

UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)weapon · MythicalSvyatoSlowed$0.66$0.701.06x5h

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueАртём Открывашка$0.66$0.250.38x15h

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)weapon · blueАртём Открывашка$0.66$0.610.92x15h

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueАртём Открывашка$0.66$0.701.06x15h

UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)weapon · MythicalАртём Открывашка$0.66$0.701.06x15h

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueАртём Открывашка$0.66$0.701.06x15h

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialАртём Открывашка$0.66$0.110.17x15h

listed1 3.8%mil spec 0.0%#4b69ff 11.3%milspec 3.8%industrial 11.4%uncommon 1.2%classified 0.0%pink 0.0%restricted 6.0%Industrial Grade 0.2%violet 4.4%consumer 0.8%Rare 5.5%Mythical 12.5%blue 31.2%Mil Spec 7.6%best hit —