Vampire
A case on CSGORUN (halloween2026), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$20.00
Advertised RTP
95.08%
EV $19.02 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.33%
739 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 739 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/vampire/show, 8 Nov, 19:51 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 95.08%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $20.00 | 95.08% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 97.89% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 4.9%gold 0.0%extraordinary 0.1%classified 6.0%rare 0.3%covert knife 0.5%Mythical 3.3%restricted 6.8%industrial 27.8%Immortal 2.0%mil spec 11.6%consumer 8.5%violet 6.0%Mil Spec Grade 5.4%uncommon 3.1%Restricted 4.9%#4b69ff 2.2%Rare 3.8%blue 1.5%Industrial Grade 1.2%best hit —