Wacky
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$2.16
Advertised RTP
93.71%
EV $2.02 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.63%
318 openings, odds method
Variance
2.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 318 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/wacky/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.71%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $2.16 | 93.71% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.21 | 91.59% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.21 | 93.78% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%epic 0.0%classified 1.5%rare 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%violet 0.1%pink 0.2%restricted 22.3%Rare 14.0%Legendary 0.7%#8847ff 0.9%Mythical 13.4%#4b69ff 7.2%mil spec 12.5%blue 8.9%milspec 13.5%Mil Spec 2.9%Consumer Grade 1.9%best hit —