Werewolf
A case on CSGORUN (halloween2026), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$40.00
Advertised RTP
92.26%
EV $36.90 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.21%
157 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
27.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 157 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/werewolf/show, 8 Nov, 19:51 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.26%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $40.00 | 92.26% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $40.00 | 95.33% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcontraband 0.0%covert 22.1%epic 0.0%extraordinary 0.2%rare 0.5%restricted 18.9%covert knife 3.3%red 2.4%classified 14.5%Rare 5.0%industrial 12.8%mil spec 6.5%blue 4.3%pink 4.3%#87c7ff 1.7%#777777 2.0%#8847ff 1.5%best hit —