Yellow
A case on CSGORUN (palette2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$10.99
Advertised RTP
94.00%
EV $10.33 from 40 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.52%
172 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
56.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 235 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/yellow/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $10.99 | 94.00% | 40 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.2%covert knife 0.0%Ancient 0.0%restricted 11.9%sunny 0.0%extraordinary 0.1%mil spec 9.9%classified 25.3%violet 9.2%#8847ff 13.1%#d32ee6 4.2%Mythical 10.9%Mil Spec 3.0%rare 3.0%#4b69ff 6.1%blue 3.0%best hit —