Yohan
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.33
Advertised RTP
93.36%
EV $0.31 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.68%
5,327 openings, odds method
Variance
4.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
28.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,327 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/yohan/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.36%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.33 | 93.36% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.33 | 92.04% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 5.9%7 1.2%#ffd700 0.0%gold 0.0%covert 0.0%rare 0.1%Ancient 0.0%red 0.0%restricted 5.6%classified 0.1%#8847ff 6.1%Mythical 0.0%pink 0.0%violet 1.9%Restricted 2.3%Rare 11.6%mil spec 9.0%blue 10.7%Uncommon 6.5%milspec 16.1%uncommon 5.3%other 2.1%common 8.4%Common 3.0%#5e98d9 2.4%Consumer Grade 1.6%best hit —