Yourun
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$18.57
Advertised RTP
93.95%
EV $17.45 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.19%
248 openings, odds method
Variance
2.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 248 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/yourun/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.95%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $18.57 | 93.95% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $19.11 | 91.30% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $19.11 | 93.34% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.0%contraband 0.0%classified 20.7%restricted 2.8%sunny 0.0%covert knife 0.0%gold 0.1%epic 0.3%rare 10.1%Immortal 0.2%#eb4b4b 1.2%red 4.2%extraordinary 2.0%industrial 5.4%Legendary 13.4%#8847ff 7.0%pink 12.4%#777777 7.0%blue 5.8%Mythical 5.4%best hit —