Price
$2.14
Advertised RTP
93.70%
EV $2.01 from 44 items
Observed RTP, 30d
105.87%
159 openings, odds method
Variance
2.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values44 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 159 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/zaprcase/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.70%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $2.14 | 93.70% | 44 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.12 | 94.59% | 44 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.12 | 94.75% | 44 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 33.3%rare 0.0%Restricted 0.0%Mythical 24.5%#8847ff 14.5%uncommon 15.3%violet 12.4%best hit —