Price
$7.85
Advertised RTP
83.24%
EV $6.53 from 27 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.17%
1,758 openings, odds method
Variance
8.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,758 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: huntsman-weapon-case), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.24%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.85 | 83.24% | 27 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.3%epic 0.0%classified 0.5%#ffd700 0.0%covert knife 0.2%restricted 5.0%mil spec 80.1%violet 2.0%#4b69ff 12.0%best hit —