Syrinxx
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$55.59
Advertised RTP
83.32%
EV $46.32 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.41%
1,651 openings, odds method
Variance
6.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 22
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,665 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · gold | 1 in 1,000 | $1,151 | 2.5% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Convoy (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 500 | $761 | 3.3% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| AWP | Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 333 | $746 | 4.8% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.40× |
| ★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert | 1 in 250 | $735 | 6.3% | 7 | 6.7 | 1.05× |
| ★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 1 in 200 | $723 | 7.8% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.08× |
| ★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny | 1 in 111 | $617 | 12.0% | 9 | 15.0 | 0.60× |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $550 | 11.9% | 14 | 16.6 | 0.84× |
| ★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 83 | $474 | 12.3% | 18 | 20.0 | 0.90× |
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 50 | $407 | 17.6% | 32 | 33.3 | 0.96× |
| ★ Survival Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 25 | $217 | 18.4% | 57 | 65.4 | 0.87× |
| M4A4 | Converter (Factory New)weapon · blue | 89.5% | $1.62 | 3.1% | 1,507 | 1489.7 | 1.01× |
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: syrinxx), 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.32%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $55.59 | 83.32% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedgold 0.1%extraordinary 1.4%covert 5.1%sunny 0.9%classified 3.0%blue 89.5%best hit $1,151 (20.71x)