Desert Stone CS2 Case Collection
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$6.53
Advertised RTP
83.26%
EV $5.44 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.44%
2,938 openings, odds method
Variance
5.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,984 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: desert-bonanza), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.26%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.53 | 83.26% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 6.6%restricted 6.2%covert 0.3%#8847ff 0.3%mil spec 6.9%industrial 54.5%violet 5.3%Rare 7.0%milspec 13.0%best hit —