Ammo
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$5.13
Advertised RTP
83.24%
EV $4.27 from 26 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.05%
2,223 openings, odds method
Variance
6.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 16
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,225 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: ammo), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.24%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.13 | 83.24% | 26 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.3%restricted 11.9%industrial 0.1%Immortal 0.1%Ancient 0.6%classified 2.8%Legendary 1.9%Mythical 0.5%#d32ee6 1.0%violet 1.5%milspec 3.0%blue 76.4%best hit —