Final 2020
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$28.00
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $23.33 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
74.60%
819 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 819 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: final-2020), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $28.00 | 83.33% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 6.0%red 0.5%#8847ff 0.5%restricted 30.5%gold 1.0%Ancient 1.5%covert 6.0%pink 5.0%common 9.0%#d32ee6 10.0%Legendary 10.0%violet 10.0%#4b69ff 10.0%best hit —