Peacekeeper

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price
$25.51
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $21.26 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.48%
884 openings, odds method
Variance
11.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
94 openings · below min
7 days
84.96%±23.80773 openings
30 days
81.48%±22.26884 openings
since tracking started
81.48%±22.26884 openings
29.0%97.8%166.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h9497.82%±68.2—odds
7d77384.96%±23.8+0.1σodds
30d88481.48%±22.3−0.2σodds
All88481.48%±22.3−0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 884 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Field-Tested)gloves · epic1 in 10,000$5,2292.5%00.1—
★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 9,091$4,1982.2%00.1—
★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 8,333$3,3321.9%00.1—
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 2,000$7501.8%10.4—
M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 1,429$6272.1%10.6—
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,000$5262.5%10.9—
★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 333$1872.6%22.70.75×
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 200$1543.6%14.40.23×
FAMAS | Meltdown (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 143$1133.7%86.21.29×
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 143$1113.7%96.21.45×
★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 100$1065.0%58.80.57×
★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 67$84.646.0%1313.30.98×
★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 50$68.236.4%2917.71.64×
M4A1-S | Briefing (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 25$57.4410.8%3135.40.88×
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 20$40.169.4%4944.21.11×
Sticker | Great Wave (Holo)sticker · remarkable11.0%$19.009.8%9997.21.02×
M4A1-S | Nitro (Factory New)weapon · restricted23.0%$13.0114.1%201203.30.99×
Sticker | Bash (Holo)sticker · remarkable23.0%$11.0011.9%197203.30.97×
Sticker | Natus Vincere | 2020 RMRsticker · high27.0%$0.060.1%237239.10.99×
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: peacekeeper), 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$25.5183.33%19
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedepic 0.0%extraordinary 5.5%red 0.1%classified 6.4%mil spec 4.0%remarkable 34.0%restricted 23.0%high 27.0%best hit $750 (29.39x)