Price
$25.51
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $21.26 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.48%
884 openings, odds method
Variance
11.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 884 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: peacekeeper), 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $25.51 | 83.33% | 19 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.0%extraordinary 5.5%red 0.1%classified 6.4%mil spec 4.0%remarkable 34.0%restricted 23.0%high 27.0%best hit $750 (29.39x)