Endless Runner Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price
$61.24
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $51.03 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
107.57%
401 openings, odds method
Variance
6.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 19
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
20 openings · below min
7 days
88.24%±31.51254 openings
30 days
107.57%±25.08401 openings
since tracking started
107.57%±25.08401 openings
-0.5%111.3%223.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h20110.25%±112.3—odds
7d25488.24%±31.5+0.3σodds
30d401107.57%±25.1+1.9σodds
All401107.57%±25.1+1.9σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 401 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 1,000$3,1406.2%10.4—
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 667$1,4814.4%20.6—
★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · gold1 in 400$1,1225.5%21.02.00×
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 286$7855.4%41.42.85×
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 182$7237.8%12.20.45×
★ Karambit | Freehand (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 182$6627.1%12.20.45×
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 133$4386.4%33.01.00×
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 100$1873.7%44.01.00×
★ Navaja Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 67$1484.3%76.01.16×
AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 40$1045.1%710.00.70×
AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 19$10110.5%2821.31.32×
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 14$48.296.6%2428.10.86×
P90 | Baroque Red (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 11$44.217.8%4336.11.19×
Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested)weapon · classified11.0%$39.628.5%3844.10.86×
AK-47 | Predator (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial12.0%$15.933.7%6348.11.31×
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary12.0%$11.662.7%5048.11.04×
M4A1-S | Control Panel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee612.0%$7.701.8%4148.10.85×
Tec-9 | Orange Murano (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial12.0%$6.121.4%4548.10.94×
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical12.0%$4.141.0%3748.10.77×
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: endless-runner-case), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$61.2483.33%19
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedCovert 0.7%covert 5.1%gold 0.3%extraordinary 0.8%sunny 1.0%classified 23.3%mil spec 9.0%industrial 24.0%Legendary 12.0%#d32ee6 12.0%Mythical 12.0%best hit $3,140 (51.27x)