Team Battles
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$23.45
Advertised RTP
83.31%
EV $19.54 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.16%
626 openings, odds method
Variance
5.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 16
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 636 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: team-battles), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.31%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $23.45 | 83.31% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.8%extraordinary 0.3%classified 9.5%covert knife 0.5%restricted 22.4%Covert 3.0%Restricted 7.5%pink 10.0%uncommon 15.0%mil spec 15.0%milspec 15.0%best hit $866 (36.94x)