Insignia
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$0.41
Advertised RTP
81.36%
EV $0.33 from 23 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.46%
46.6K openings, odds method
Variance
22.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 91
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 46.7K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: insignia), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 81.36%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.41 | 81.36% | 23 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedexotic 0.4%high 79.5%Rare 0.1%pink 0.1%extraordinary 0.2%remarkable 0.1%Legendary 0.1%blue 0.1%Exotic 9.4%common 10.0%best hit $40.00 (97.56x)