Big Bang
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$263.92
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $219.94 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.48%
357 openings, odds method
Variance
4.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 357 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: big-bang), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $264 | 83.33% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 27.2%legendary 0.1%classified 2.0%extraordinary 5.0%Ancient 22.0%sunny 10.0%covert knife 21.7%pink 12.0%best hit $12.1K (45.78x)