Bikini Burst CS2 Case
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$48.50
Advertised RTP
82.97%
EV $40.24 from 32 items
Observed RTP, 30d
67.36%
381 openings, odds method
Variance
3.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 381 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: bikini-burst), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 82.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $48.50 | 82.97% | 32 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.6%mil spec 3.5%covert 5.5%Ancient 0.5%red 3.0%Legendary 5.8%restricted 4.5%pink 3.5%classified 48.4%industrial 24.8%best hit $574 (11.84x)