Skull Cache CS2 Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price
$50.00
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $41.66 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.97%
676 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
85.46%±20.73181 openings
7 days
83.66%±12.20523 openings
30 days
83.97%±10.73676 openings
since tracking started
83.97%±10.73676 openings
64.0%85.5%107.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h18185.46%±20.7+0.2σodds
7d52383.66%±12.2+0.1σodds
30d67683.97%±10.7+0.1σodds
All67683.97%±10.7+0.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 676 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: skull-cache), 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$50.0083.33%13
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 14.3%Extraordinary 1.0%industrial 3.0%mil spec 24.0%Legendary 7.0%pink 7.5%classified 13.0%#8847ff 30.2%best hit —