Jungle Strike Case
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$4.53
Advertised RTP
80.76%
EV $3.66 from 39 items
Observed RTP, 30d
59.16%
2,856 openings, odds method
Variance
127.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,871 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: jungle-strike), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 80.76%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.53 | 80.76% | 39 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%extraordinary 0.0%classified 2.3%#eb4b4b 0.0%legendary 0.0%mil spec 11.4%restricted 0.5%Classified 0.1%pink 4.0%#d32ce6 0.1%consumer 11.2%Mythical 11.7%#4b69ff 0.3%Industrial Grade 0.5%#8847ff 5.0%Uncommon 8.0%violet 31.0%gray 13.8%best hit $786 (173.5x)