CS2 Charm Case
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$5.75
Advertised RTP
83.10%
EV $4.78 from 33 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.18%
2,601 openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,631 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: cs2-charms), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.10%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.75 | 83.10% | 33 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedAncient 1.4%#eb4b4b 2.9%rare 4.3%uncommon 32.4%#d32ce6 8.9%Legendary 4.4%#8847ff 22.1%#4b69ff 8.9%Rare 14.7%best hit —