Hell Case CS2 (CSGO)
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$8.00
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $6.67 from 39 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.66%
1,332 openings, odds method
Variance
16.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,352 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: hell-case), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.00 | 83.33% | 39 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.1%covert 2.1%#ffd700 0.0%epic 0.0%gold 0.0%Covert 0.0%classified 28.9%pink 2.5%#d32ee6 3.0%Legendary 8.3%restricted 25.0%Consumer Grade 5.0%Rare 5.0%mil spec 5.0%#8847ff 5.0%Mythical 10.0%best hit $571 (71.34x)