Price
$3.93
Advertised RTP
83.24%
EV $3.27 from 35 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.62%
5,232 openings, odds method
Variance
13.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,250 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: prisma-2-case), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.24%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.93 | 83.24% | 35 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.4%Covert 0.1%sunny 0.0%rare 0.0%covert knife 0.0%gold 0.1%classified 0.4%restricted 11.0%#4b69ff 13.0%mil spec 7.0%Rare 34.0%milspec 16.0%blue 18.0%best hit $408 (103.8x)