Operation Riptide Case CS2 (CSGO)
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$12.02
Advertised RTP
83.31%
EV $10.01 from 44 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.54%
1,666 openings, odds method
Variance
4.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values44 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,689 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: operation-riptide-case), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.31%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $12.02 | 83.31% | 44 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 9.0%covert knife 0.1%covert 0.3%gold 0.5%sunny 0.0%Covert 0.0%classified 0.1%Immortal 0.1%restricted 10.0%rare 0.0%mil spec 22.7%violet 2.0%Mythical 6.0%Mil Spec Grade 34.0%Mil Spec 15.0%best hit —