Clash GG Case
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$2.00
Advertised RTP
83.31%
EV $1.67 from 25 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.50%
5,343 openings, odds method
Variance
27.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,376 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: clash-gg-case), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.31%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.00 | 83.31% | 25 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#ffd700 0.0%classified 0.0%covert 0.1%extraordinary 0.0%Classified 0.1%Ancient 0.1%Legendary 0.3%pink 0.3%restricted 23.6%#8847ff 53.4%violet 11.0%mil spec 11.0%best hit $594 (297.2x)