Skuty
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$35.00
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $29.17 from 23 items
Observed RTP, 30d
65.84%
989 openings, odds method
Variance
7.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 83.33% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (48.79% – 82.89%, 989 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 993 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: skuty), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $35.00 | 83.33% | 23 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#ffd700 0.1%gold 5.0%restricted 32.0%covert 4.1%extraordinary 2.6%covert knife 0.2%sunny 0.4%red 0.5%Covert 0.6%classified 16.5%Legendary 15.0%milspec 23.0%best hit $1,319 (37.69x)