Tradeit GG Case
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
83.27%
EV $3.33 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.44%
2,929 openings, odds method
Variance
9.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,933 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: tradeit-gg-case), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.27%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.00 | 83.27% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 26.0%covert 0.9%extraordinary 0.0%#ffd700 0.0%covert knife 0.0%classified 1.5%Classified 0.3%violet 0.7%Legendary 2.5%Mythical 5.5%Rare 22.5%#8847ff 20.0%grey 20.0%best hit $441 (110.2x)