Price
$15.00
Advertised RTP
83.05%
EV $12.46 from 26 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.56%
1,625 openings, odds method
Variance
7.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 30
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,625 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: chimpanzini-bananini), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.05%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $15.00 | 83.05% | 26 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.4%covert 3.4%classified 11.1%restricted 15.4%red 0.8%Classified 2.0%Legendary 4.0%mil spec 36.0%#8847ff 7.0%Consumer Grade 20.0%best hit —