Chimpanzini Bananini

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price
$15.00
Advertised RTP
83.05%
EV $12.46 from 26 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.56%
1,625 openings, odds method
Variance
7.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 30
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
39.06%±41.15172 openings
7 days
66.73%±16.691,046 openings
30 days
77.56%±13.391,625 openings
since tracking started
77.56%±13.391,625 openings
-0.5%45.5%91.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h17239.06%±41.2−2.1σodds
7d1,04666.73%±16.7−1.9σodds
30d1,62577.56%±13.4−0.8σodds
All1,62577.56%±13.4−0.8σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,625 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 10,000$1,1790.9%00.2—
SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 500$4116.6%13.30.31×
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 400$3126.3%54.11.23×
★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 333$2235.4%64.91.23×
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 286$2005.6%75.71.23×
★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 250$1785.7%76.51.08×
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 250$1765.6%66.50.92×
Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 250$1745.6%56.50.77×
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 250$1715.5%76.51.08×
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 167$1286.2%99.80.92×
M4A4 | The Emperor (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 125$99.456.4%713.00.54×
M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$89.537.2%1116.30.68×
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 92$69.626.1%1917.71.07×
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified1 in 50$39.176.3%3832.51.17×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 25$15.044.8%7365.01.12×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary1 in 25$9.323.0%5365.00.82×
XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 21$8.823.4%8178.01.04×
P250 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 20$6.202.5%8681.31.06×
USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 20$5.682.3%6981.30.85×
StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 17$1.820.9%8597.50.87×
M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 17$1.660.8%10797.51.10×
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 14$1.200.7%129113.81.13×
R8 Revolver | Night (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade10.0%$0.980.8%154162.50.95×
SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade10.0%$0.780.6%168162.51.03×
MAC-10 | Carnivore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec15.0%$0.360.4%233243.80.96×
P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec15.0%$0.360.4%259243.81.06×
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: chimpanzini-bananini), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.05%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$15.0083.05%26
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.4%covert 3.4%classified 11.1%restricted 15.4%red 0.8%Classified 2.0%Legendary 4.0%mil spec 36.0%#8847ff 7.0%Consumer Grade 20.0%best hit —