Tung Tung Tung Sahur
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$9.80
Advertised RTP
85.03%
EV $8.33 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.69%
2,042 openings, odds method
Variance
22.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 38
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,050 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: tung-tung-tung-sahur), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 85.03%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 14:16 UTC | $9.80 | 85.03% | 28 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.00 | 83.33% | 28 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 15.2%covert 1.3%rare 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%#eb4b4b 0.3%red 0.8%Ancient 1.0%Legendary 5.0%Mythical 26.0%#8847ff 5.0%mil spec 20.0%grey 25.4%best hit $1,039 (103.9x)