PGL Cluj-Napoca

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price
$9.99
Advertised RTP
83.32%
EV $8.32 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.68%
1,370 openings, odds method
Variance
5.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
120.76%±33.03181 openings
7 days
89.86%±12.771,211 openings
30 days
87.68%±12.011,370 openings
since tracking started
87.68%±12.011,370 openings
75.0%114.8%154.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h181120.76%±33.0+2.2σodds
7d1,21189.86%±12.8+1.0σodds
30d1,37087.68%±12.0+0.7σodds
All1,37087.68%±12.0+0.7σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,370 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: pgl-cluj-napoca), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.32%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$9.9983.32%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.8%rare 0.0%classified 3.1%Ancient 1.3%Covert 1.0%Mythical 2.0%violet 51.9%restricted 40.0%best hit —