Revilo
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$18.33
Advertised RTP
83.30%
EV $15.27 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.79%
922 openings, odds method
Variance
1.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 922 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: revilo), 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.30%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $18.33 | 83.30% | 28 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%covert 0.1%sunny 0.0%classified 0.0%Ancient 5.1%covert knife 2.1%blue 5.0%mil spec 6.5%industrial 6.5%light blue 6.5%Mythical 16.0%Restricted 7.0%Industrial Grade 7.2%Rare 9.0%restricted 29.0%best hit —