Dadosch official
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$150.00
Advertised RTP
82.87%
EV $124.30 from 23 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.17%
753 openings, odds method
Variance
9.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 753 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: dadosch-official), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 82.87%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $150 | 82.87% | 23 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 33.0%extraordinary 17.6%classified 0.1%gold 0.5%legendary 1.0%rare 16.0%uncommon 9.0%#8847ff 22.8%best hit $12.5K (83.33x)