Zenmaster
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$92.69
Advertised RTP
83.17%
EV $77.09 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.97%
362 openings, odds method
Variance
15.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 362 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)weapon · legendary | 1 in 2,000 | $9,500 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband | 1 in 2,000 | $7,300 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $5,400 | 7.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,000 | $1,900 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 1 in 200 | $1,250 | 8.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 500 | $1,250 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 50 | $802 | 20.8% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.10× |
| M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 11 | $200 | 23.5% | 46 | 32.8 | 1.40× |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 11 | $200 | 23.5% | 34 | 32.8 | 1.04× |
| SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade | 78.9% | $0.50 | 0.5% | 272 | 285.6 | 0.95× |
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: zenmaster), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.17%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $92.69 | 83.17% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.1%contraband 0.1%covert 11.2%extraordinary 9.3%classified 0.5%Consumer Grade 78.9%best hit $5,400 (58.26x)