Team Vitality

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price
$46.20
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $38.50 from 29 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.27%
735 openings, odds method
Variance
15.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 49
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
82.11%±29.85681 openings
30 days
79.27%±28.73735 openings
since tracking started
79.27%±28.73735 openings
-0.5%118.0%236.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1210.98%±224.8—odds
7d68182.11%±29.8−0.1σodds
30d73579.27%±28.7−0.3σodds
All73579.27%±28.7−0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 735 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 10,000$9,0002.3%00.1—
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary1 in 10,000$4,9001.3%00.1—
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 10,000$2,6000.7%00.1—
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 10,000$2,4120.6%00.1—
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold1 in 1,000$2,3006.0%20.7—
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 1,000$2,0005.2%00.7—
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 1,000$1,5003.9%00.7—
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd7001 in 1,000$1,5003.9%00.7—
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,000$1,4033.6%00.7—
Desert Eagle | Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 1,000$1,1002.9%10.7—
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 1,000$9502.5%20.7—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 1,000$7872.0%00.7—
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 1,000$7491.9%20.7—
M4A4 | Daybreak (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 500$6003.1%11.50.68×
★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 400$5513.6%21.81.09×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 400$5403.5%31.81.63×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 250$3793.9%12.90.34×
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Field-Tested)gloves · epic1 in 200$2803.6%43.71.09×
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 200$2503.2%43.71.09×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 200$1672.2%23.70.54×
SG 553 | Colony IV (Factory New)weapon · #d32ee61 in 182$1281.8%44.00.99×
USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 50$95.004.9%1614.71.09×
AK-47 | Inheritance (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 20$72.819.5%4036.81.09×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 13$43.008.5%6055.91.07×
SSG 08 | Big Iron (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee615.0%$15.175.9%115110.31.04×
M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified15.0%$14.805.8%98110.30.89×
AK-47 | Slate (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted15.0%$6.242.4%96110.30.87×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted16.0%$1.500.6%131117.61.11×
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical20.3%$1.000.5%151149.21.01×
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: team-vitality), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$46.2083.33%29
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 6.6%legendary 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%restricted 31.3%gold 0.1%#eb4b4b 0.1%Covert 0.1%#ffd700 0.1%classified 2.2%epic 0.5%#d32ee6 16.1%Ancient 7.6%Classified 15.0%Mythical 20.3%best hit $2,300 (49.78x)