Mouz
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$46.77
Advertised RTP
83.32%
EV $38.97 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
113.32%
246 openings, odds method
Variance
12.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 246 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: mouz), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.32%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $46.77 | 83.32% | 28 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 14.1%contraband 0.0%epic 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%legendary 0.1%gold 0.1%rare 0.1%Covert 0.6%#eb4b4b 1.3%red 30.5%Mythical 26.1%restricted 27.1%best hit $4,500 (96.22x)