Esports World Cup 2026
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$30.00
Advertised RTP
83.25%
EV $24.97 from 27 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.27%
3,068 openings, odds method
Variance
23.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 67
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,083 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: ewc-2026), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.25%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $30.00 | 83.25% | 27 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.3%legendary 0.1%extraordinary 0.3%covert 1.5%sunny 0.1%#eb4b4b 0.8%restricted 21.5%rare 1.0%red 1.5%pink 21.0%#d32ce6 5.0%uncommon 10.0%Mythical 12.0%milspec 25.0%best hit $2,790 (93.00x)