Price
$5.00
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $4.17 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.75%
1,636 openings, odds method
Variance
29.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,636 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: zlashy), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 83.33% | 17 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.3%legendary 0.1%Immortal 0.1%restricted 0.1%classified 0.1%epic 0.1%#8847ff 37.3%pink 8.3%blue 2.5%Legendary 9.9%milspec 41.4%best hit $850 (170.0x)