Price
$26.00
Advertised RTP
83.32%
EV $21.66 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.50%
149 openings, odds method
Variance
9.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 177 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: 1111-remastered), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.32%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $26.00 | 83.32% | 17 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 10.1%classified 17.0%sunny 0.1%gold 0.8%covert knife 0.3%Immortal 0.3%restricted 1.0%pink 45.0%violet 25.5%best hit $1,050 (40.38x)