11.11 remastered

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price
$26.00
Advertised RTP
83.32%
EV $21.66 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.50%
149 openings, odds method
Variance
9.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
96.50%±49.38149 openings
7 days
96.50%±49.38149 openings
30 days
96.50%±49.38149 openings
since tracking started
96.50%±49.38149 openings
46.5%96.5%146.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h14996.50%±49.4+0.5σodds
7d14996.50%±49.4+0.5σodds
30d14996.50%±49.4+0.5σodds
All14996.50%±49.4+0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 177 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AWP | The Prince (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 10,000$2,6001.2%00.0—
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 5,000$1,3501.2%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear)gloves · sunny1 in 2,000$1,2502.9%00.1—
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 667$1,0507.3%10.3—
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 500$8708.0%10.4—
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 333$4756.6%00.5—
★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Minimal Wear)gloves · Immortal1 in 313$3505.2%10.6—
★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 182$2305.8%01.0—
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 133$1204.2%11.30.75×
Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 100$75.003.5%21.81.13×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 87$65.003.5%02.00.00×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 33$61.008.4%45.30.75×
AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 20$40.009.2%98.81.02×
M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested)weapon · pink12.0%$23.0012.7%1621.20.75×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified17.0%$15.0011.8%3330.11.10×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · violet25.5%$4.004.7%4645.11.02×
Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink33.0%$2.503.8%6358.41.08×
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: 1111-remastered), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.32%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$26.0083.32%17
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 10.1%classified 17.0%sunny 0.1%gold 0.8%covert knife 0.3%Immortal 0.3%restricted 1.0%pink 45.0%violet 25.5%best hit $1,050 (40.38x)