CS20
A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.
Price
$1.49
Advertised RTP
94.73%
EV $1.41 from 47 items
Observed RTP, 30d
72.00%
165 openings, odds method
Variance
12.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 165 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
dropskin:cases-service/slug/cs20/info, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.73%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $1.49 | 94.73% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $1.49 | 94.95% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.49 | 98.58% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.49 | 96.10% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $1.49 | 96.05% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $1.49 | 100.04% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $1.49 | 104.22% | 47 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $1.49 | 105.41% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $1.49 | 96.63% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $1.49 | 100.83% | 47 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.2%classified 0.9%Restricted 13.7%Legendary 0.8%industrial 0.3%#d32ee6 0.6%consumer 0.7%Mil Spec Grade 7.2%violet 0.5%restricted 26.6%Mil Spec 0.6%mil spec 23.3%milspec 8.4%Mythical 4.2%Rare 7.9%Common 4.1%best hit —