GAMMA
A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.
Price
$2.49
Advertised RTP
114.46%
EV $2.85 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.73%
128 openings, odds method
Variance
26.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 23
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 128 openings and 4.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 128 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
dropskin:cases-service/slug/gamma/info, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 114.46%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $2.49 | 114.46% | 49 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $2.49 | 114.16% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $2.49 | 114.34% | 49 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $2.49 | 115.00% | 49 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $2.49 | 114.77% | 49 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $2.49 | 111.47% | 49 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $2.49 | 114.47% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $2.49 | 113.85% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $2.49 | 110.62% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $2.49 | 113.65% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 3.1%#ffd700 0.0%covert knife 0.0%covert 0.2%red 0.1%Covert 0.1%Classified 0.1%Immortal 0.1%extraordinary 0.3%classified 5.9%industrial 7.7%Legendary 1.0%restricted 4.0%Mil Spec Grade 9.0%violet 4.0%Restricted 7.3%Consumer Grade 2.2%#4b69ff 21.7%mil spec 6.0%milspec 16.2%consumer 3.7%Industrial Grade 4.3%Rare 2.9%best hit —