ICE-RAINBOW
A case on DROP.SKIN (bestseller), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.
Price
$20.00
Advertised RTP
113.76%
EV $22.75 from 57 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.92%
369 openings, odds method
Variance
9.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 111.00% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (45.44% – 108.40%, 369 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values57 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 369 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
dropskin:cases-service/slug/ice-rainbow/info, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedHyperionRax$20.00$18.260.91x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil specnemytchenkos$20.00$9.880.49x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 113.76%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $20.00 | 113.76% | 57 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $20.00 | 114.90% | 57 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $20.00 | 110.58% | 57 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $20.00 | 113.89% | 57 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $20.00 | 112.06% | 57 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $20.00 | 112.17% | 57 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $20.00 | 108.65% | 57 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $20.00 | 108.40% | 57 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $20.00 | 107.78% | 57 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $20.00 | 108.22% | 57 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.4%#ffd700 0.2%covert knife 0.9%#d32ee6 3.6%restricted 27.1%Ancient 0.4%Restricted 7.1%pink 0.4%classified 26.6%mil spec 9.8%violet 0.5%Rare 6.3%Mythical 3.1%milspec 5.3%Classified 3.1%Legendary 3.0%best hit —