PRISMA-2
A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.
Price
$1.99
Advertised RTP
105.23%
EV $2.09 from 52 items
Observed RTP, 30d
66.94%
101 openings, odds method
Variance
41.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values52 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 101 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
dropskin:cases-service/slug/prisma-2/info, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 105.23%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $1.99 | 105.23% | 52 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $1.99 | 102.66% | 52 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.99 | 104.43% | 52 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.99 | 105.41% | 52 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $1.99 | 99.01% | 52 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $1.99 | 99.03% | 52 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $1.99 | 101.02% | 52 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $1.99 | 104.12% | 52 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $1.99 | 104.23% | 52 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $1.99 | 102.35% | 52 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 3.1%2 0.4%Covert 0.0%covert knife 0.0%covert 0.1%classified 1.7%Restricted 5.8%restricted 31.6%violet 5.4%pink 0.2%Mil Spec Grade 7.8%#8847ff 6.1%Industrial Grade 5.0%mil spec 0.5%#4b69ff 4.2%milspec 12.4%Rare 4.8%Mythical 4.9%#87c7ff 3.1%blue 2.4%Consumer Grade 0.3%best hit —