REVOLVER
A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.
Price
$1.99
Advertised RTP
108.21%
EV $2.15 from 32 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.14%
129 openings, odds method
Variance
15.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 129 openings and 4.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 129 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
dropskin:cases-service/slug/revolver/info, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 108.21%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $1.99 | 108.21% | 32 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $1.99 | 109.52% | 32 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.99 | 109.72% | 32 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.99 | 111.29% | 32 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $1.99 | 111.04% | 32 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $1.99 | 110.24% | 32 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $1.99 | 110.13% | 32 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $1.99 | 108.66% | 32 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $1.99 | 108.33% | 32 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $1.99 | 107.89% | 32 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 0.5%Covert 0.1%classified 2.0%covert 0.1%mil spec 13.5%Restricted 2.5%Mil Spec Grade 15.0%restricted 4.5%Mythical 1.3%Mil Spec 5.1%violet 14.5%milspec 23.7%blue 16.7%Consumer Grade 0.5%best hit —