SNAKEBITE
A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.
Price
$0.65
Advertised RTP
104.53%
EV $0.68 from 45 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.33%
529 openings, odds method
Variance
8.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values45 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 529 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
dropskin:cases-service/slug/snakebite/info, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 104.53%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $0.65 | 104.53% | 45 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $0.65 | 102.71% | 45 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.65 | 100.93% | 45 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.65 | 103.61% | 45 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $0.65 | 101.06% | 45 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $0.65 | 100.42% | 45 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $0.65 | 99.45% | 45 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $0.65 | 101.03% | 45 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $0.65 | 100.69% | 45 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $0.65 | 100.50% | 45 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 3.6%#eb4b4b 0.0%covert 0.0%Legendary 0.3%classified 0.4%Mil Spec Grade 5.6%Restricted 5.3%#d32ee6 0.6%Mythical 5.0%Consumer Grade 0.9%violet 9.9%mil spec 19.6%restricted 10.7%#4b69ff 1.9%#8847ff 0.7%Rare 10.4%milspec 9.5%Mil Spec 4.8%Industrial Grade 4.9%blue 4.8%consumer 1.0%best hit —