VICE-LOVER
A case on DROP.SKIN (bestseller), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.
Price
$299.99
Advertised RTP
65.03%
EV $195.09 from 54 items
Observed RTP, 30d
67.82%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
0.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
33.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
94.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values54 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
dropskin:cases-service/slug/vice-lover/info, 11 Nov, 14:22 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 65.03%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $300 | 65.03% | 54 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $300 | 65.22% | 54 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $300 | 66.11% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $300 | 65.78% | 54 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $300 | 65.44% | 54 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $300 | 66.02% | 54 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $300 | 65.14% | 54 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $300 | 65.00% | 54 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $300 | 65.70% | 54 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $300 | 65.86% | 54 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 0.3%covert 65.3%extraordinary 10.0%gold 3.0%epic 0.4%#ffd700 3.0%covert knife 5.2%Covert 5.2%classified 5.2%Legendary 2.6%best hit —