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Duck Hunt

A case on FarmSkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price.

Price
$119.99
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
73.11%
147 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
121 openings · below min
30 days
147 openings · below min
since tracking started
147 openings · below min
44.0%77.0%110.0%

Small sample. 147 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h677.11%±32.2—sample
7d12173.57%±17.4—sample
30d14773.11%±14.8—sample
All14773.11%±14.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogFarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryyaojiakai10062004$120$1,0718.93x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covertyaojiakai10062004$120$6425.35x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested)weapon · covertberry$120$42.840.36x
★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · coverton the moon$120$1201.00x
AK-47 | Head Shot (Well-Worn)weapon · Ancienti swear she was adult$120$30.510.25x
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinaryGoofball$120$1581.31x
★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · coverti swear she was adult$120$1110.93x
★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · goldGoofball$120$92.750.77x
AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested)weapon · AncientAwerp$120$31.890.27x
★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer (Field-Tested)gloves · epicpeKsa$120$1331.11x
AWP | Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · redeliseigrigorev92$120$27.570.23x
★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covertpeKsa$120$1341.12x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,071 (8.93x)