Phoenix Peek

A case on FarmSkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price.

Price
$4.99
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
77.23%
396 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
36 openings · below min
7 days
339 openings · below min
30 days
396 openings · below min
since tracking started
396 openings · below min
30.5%69.8%109.0%

Small sample. 396 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3669.66%±38.5—sample
7d33974.93%±16.9—sample
30d39677.23%±16.5—sample
All39677.23%±16.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogFarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —